Technology commentator Edward Zitron claims that ChatGPT maker OpenAI’s current business model is unsustainable because it lacks a clear path to profitability and spends excessively. However, several industry executives disagree.
“I ultimately believe that OpenAI in its current form is untenable,” Zitron declared in his most recent Where’s Your Ed At? newsletter. It follows recent reports that OpenAI could lose as much as $5 billion in 2024, putting the company at risk of running out of cash within 12 months.
Zitron asserted that for OpenAI to “survive” beyond 2026, it will need to secure more funding than any startup in history and raise it continuously.
Additionally, he claimed that OpenAI must achieve a major technological breakthrough to drastically lower the costs of developing GPT.
“Have a significant technological breakthrough such that it reduces the costs of building and operating GPT — or whatever model that succeeds it — by a factor of thousands of percent,” he stated.
He also argued that OpenAI’s use cases need to both create new jobs and automate existing ones to justify the “massive” capital and infrastructure investments required to move forward.
LA Times columnist Brian Merchant echoed a similar sentiment in a July 25 X post, claiming that “generative AI is intensely expensive to train and run, and OpenAI is probably gonna have to raise more money this year to stay afloat.”
Industry execs disagree
However, not everyone in the industry believes that OpenAI is at risk of bankruptcy.
“OpenAI has changed the world forever and will NEVER go bankrupt,” Abacus.AI CEO Bindu Reddy wrote in a July 29 X post.
Meanwhile, Ather Energy CEO Tarun Mehta shut down the OpenAI possible bankruptcy rumors when they first emerged in August 2023.
“Uber at its peak was burning 10X more capital for YEARS,” Metha wrote in an August 2023 X post, arguing that OpenAI is “perhaps” one of the most important startups in recent times.
“They will be fine folks,” he added.
Related: OpenAI reportedly considering shift to for-profit as CEO stacks board
In a positive development for OpenAI, Elon Musk withdrew his lawsuit against OpenAI and its CEO, Sam Altman, on June 12. The lawsuit had accused the AI company of straying from its original mission to develop AI for the benefit of humanity rather than for profit.
On Feb. 29, Musk sued OpenAI and Sam Altman for breach of contract, alleging that the ChatGPT creator strayed from its original mission to develop large language models for the “benefit of humanity, not profit.”